JAX +7.5 (3u) W/ under 46 (2u) W
It never feels great to bet against Brady and Belichick in the playoffs but I can't lay more than a touchdown when the true condition of Brady's hand is unknown. Brady will be playing with a glove on his throwing hand which he never does, and he faces an elite secondary and a solid front seven in what should be a physical game. I also wouldn't be surprised to see the Jags play a little dirty and really go after Brady's hand a la Sean Payton/Bountygate. Jags know that they can't win this game by having Bortles outplay Brady even while injured, so they'll look to win the time of possession battle and feed Fournette as many carries as he can handle to run some clock.
Final score: NE 24 JAX 20
PHI +3 (4u) W / over 39 (4u) W
Final score: PHI 23 MIN 20